Kapanlagi.com - Indonesia is preparing to welcome the drought season, which is expected to peak between June and August 2025. According to analysis from the Meteorology, Climatology, and Geophysics Agency (BMKG), this year's drought season is predicted to occur under normal conditions in most regions, although some areas may experience more severe drought.
BMKG also emphasizes that this year's weather patterns will not be significantly influenced by the El Niño or La Niña phenomena. With climate conditions tending to be neutral, this year's drought is predicted to resemble the climate pattern that occurred in 2024. However, some areas need to remain vigilant against the possibility of drought, especially in regions experiencing below-average drought conditions.
Several sectors, ranging from agriculture to water resource management, are urged to adjust their strategies in facing this drought season. So, what are the details of BMKG's predictions regarding this year's drought? Check out the complete review summarized by Kapanlagi.com on Saturday (15/3).
1. BMKG Prediction: Peak of Drought 2025 Occurs June-August
BMKG has just revealed that the peak of the dry season in most regions of Indonesia will take place between June and August 2025. The areas that will experience drought during this normal period include almost all of Sumatra, eastern Java, Kalimantan, Sulawesi, Maluku, and Papua.
However, there are several regions that are expected to experience the dry season with a slightly different schedule. For example, southern Kalimantan, Bali, as well as West and East Nusa Tenggara are predicted to experience drought that arrives later.
On the other hand, some areas such as Aceh, Lampung, and central Papua are expected to experience drought earlier. With this information, the public is urged to start preparing for the possibility of hot temperatures and drought that may occur in the coming months.
“Compared to the climatological average (period 1991-2020), the beginning of the dry season in 2025 in Indonesia is predicted to occur in the same period as normal at 207 ZOM (30%), DELAYED at 204 ZOM (29%), and ADVANCED at 104 ZOM (22%),” said Acting Head of the Meteorology, Climatology, and Geophysics Agency (BMKG) Dwikorita Karnawati, quoting bmkg.go.id
2. Regions Predicted to Experience Drier Dry Seasons
BMKG notes that some regions of Indonesia will experience a dry season with lower rainfall than the normal average. The areas predicted to experience a drier dry season include:
North SumatraA small part of West KalimantanCentral SulawesiNorth MalukuSouthern PapuaThis condition has the potential to cause more severe drought compared to the previous year. Therefore, mitigation measures, such as better water resource management and anticipation of forest and land fires, need to be prepared in advance.
“The peak of the dry season in 2025 in most regions of Indonesia is predicted to occur in June, July, and August 2025,” said Dwikorita.
3. Global Weather Factors and Their Impact on the 2025 Dry Season
BMKG explains that the 2025 dry season will not be significantly influenced by global weather phenomena such as El Niño or La Niña. Currently, sea surface temperatures in the Pacific Ocean are in a neutral condition, which means there are no extreme weather patterns dominating this year's dry season.
Additionally, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) phenomenon occurring in the Indian Ocean is also in a neutral condition. With the absence of influence from both phenomena, the dry season pattern in Indonesia tends to follow the climatological pattern that has been previously predicted.
However, this does not mean that all regions will experience the same dry season. Some areas still have the potential to receive higher rainfall than usual, especially in regions with above-normal dry season characteristics.
“So primarily it’s due to the absence of dominance from global climates such as El Niño, La Niña, and IOD, so our prediction for this year’s climate is normal and not as dry as 2023, which impacted many forest fires, and the 2025 dry season is likely to resemble the conditions of the 2024 dry season,” he said again.
4. BMKG Advisory: Anticipate the Agricultural Sector and Water Availability
BMKG reminds the public, especially farmers, to be careful in planning planting schedules according to existing weather predictions. For areas expected to experience a longer dry season, it is advised to choose drought-resistant crops and maximize irrigation systems to maintain water supply.
In addition, the disaster sector is also expected to increase vigilance against the potential for forest and land fires, especially in areas that may experience extreme drought.
On the other hand, people in big cities must be alert to the decline in air quality due to spikes in pollution during the dry season, as well as pay attention to health impacts from high temperatures and low humidity, especially for vulnerable groups such as the elderly and children.
5. Tips for Facing the Dry Season 2025
To help the community anticipate the upcoming dry season, here are some steps that can be taken:
- Conserve water usage
- Use water wisely for daily needs and avoid waste. Adjust planting patterns for farmers
- Choose drought-resistant plant varieties and ensure the irrigation system is functioning optimally. Prevent forest and land fires
- Avoid open land burning and report any signs of fire. Protect yourself from hot weather
- Wear comfortable clothing, avoid outdoor activities during the day, and stay hydrated. Manage energy and electricity efficiently
- Use energy-efficient electronic appliances to reduce electricity load during the dry season.
With these steps, the community can be better prepared to face the upcoming dry season without experiencing significant impacts.
"BMKG urges that the information in the 2025 Dry Season Prediction can serve as a basis for supporting the asta cita program through the optimization of climate conditions according to the resources in each region," added Dwikorita.
6. FAQ
When will the peak of the dry season occur in 2025?
BMKG predicts that it will take place from June to August 2025.
Is this year's dry season drier than previous years?
In general, the dry season is predicted to be normal, but some regions will experience drier conditions.
Is there an influence from El Niño or La Niña?
No, BMKG states that the dry season of 2025 is in a neutral condition without strong influence from El Niño or La Niña.
How to anticipate the impacts of this year's dry season?
Save water, adjust planting patterns, prevent forest fires, and protect yourself from high temperatures.
(kpl/rmt)
Disclaimer: This translation from Bahasa Indonesia to English has been generated by Artificial Intelligence.
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