The DKI Jakarta Gubernatorial Election is Heating Up, Will There Be 2 Rounds?

Kapanlagi.com - The DKI Jakarta 2024 gubernatorial election is getting hotter! Two main candidate pairs, Pramono-Rano Karno (Pram-Doel) and Ridwan Kamil-Suswono (RIDO), are involved in a very tight competition. Electability surveys released by various institutions show that these two pairs are battling it out.

Although Pram-Doel has managed to lead in several surveys, the RIDO pair is not to be underestimated. They have shown impressive performance, even coming close to meeting the victory requirement in one round. The results of these surveys indicate that the DKI Jakarta gubernatorial election has the potential to go to two rounds. It all depends on the effective strategies that both pairs will implement to win over voters on election day. Who will come out as the winner? Let’s watch and see!

1. The Advantages of Pram-Doel in Four Survey Institutions

The Pramono-Rano Karno pair, affectionately known as Pram-Doel, has successfully captured attention in the political arena with impressive survey results from four renowned institutions: Indikator Politik, SMRC, Litbang Kompas, and LSI. Their electability soared between 38% and 46%, placing them at the top of the competition. This success is closely tied to the charm of Rano Karno, famously known as Si Doel, as well as his communication approach that resonates with the people.

"Rano Karno's emotional appeal is very strong, especially among middle-aged voters," revealed a political analyst from Indikator. However, despite achieving an electability of 46%, they still need to work hard to secure victory in a single round, as the requirement is 50%+1 vote, leaving the possibility of a second round wide open if no pair manages to reach that threshold.

2. RIDO Approaches the Requirement for Victory in One Round

The Ridwan Kamil-Suswono (RIDO) couple is capturing attention with impressive electoral strength. Three leading survey institutions—LSI Denny JA, PPI, and Poltracking—place RIDO at the top in terms of electability, with Poltracking even recording a staggering figure of 51.6%, almost reaching the victory requirement in one round.

However, this figure is not without controversy; the methods and credibility of the Poltracking survey are under scrutiny and being investigated by the Ethics Council of Persepi. Nevertheless, RIDO's spirit remains unshaken, with Ridwan Kamil, who previously succeeded as Mayor of Bandung and Governor of West Java, staying optimistic thanks to strong support from young voters and urban professionals.

3. Will There Be a Two-Round Election?

Recent survey results show fierce competition between the Pram-Doel couple and RIDO, strengthening the likelihood that the election will need to be held in two rounds. According to the Election Law, candidates must obtain more than 50% of the votes to win outright; if not, the two pairs with the highest votes will compete in the second round.

At that time, voter support for the third and fourth pairs will be crucial in determining the direction of the competition. Political observers argue that an election held in two rounds will not only heighten the tension of the competition but also potentially extend the political costs that must be incurred.

4. Determining Factors for Victory in the 2024 DKI Jakarta Election

As the DKI Jakarta Election approaches, several crucial factors will determine who will achieve victory. First, candidate pairs that manage to maintain and expand their loyal voter base have a greater chance of success. Additionally, an effective campaign focusing on local issues such as transportation, the environment, and the economy in Jakarta will be able to attract voters' attention.

A convincing performance in public debates can also be a decisive moment for undecided voters. Equally important, both pairs must pay attention to swing voters, especially among young voters, whose numbers are quite significant, as they could be the deciding factor in this event.

5. Will the 2024 DKI Jakarta Election go to two rounds?

It is highly likely that this situation will occur! If no candidate pair manages to secure more than 50% of the votes, then the two pairs with the highest vote counts will advance to the second round, adding tension and enthusiasm to this competition!

6. Who excels in the electability survey?

The Pram-Doel pair shows an impressive dominance by gaining an advantage in four survey institutions, while the RIDO pair also attracts attention by taking the top spot in three other survey institutions. Interestingly, Poltracking noted that RIDO nearly achieved victory in one round, adding to the tension in this increasingly fierce competition.

7. What are the main issues in the 2024 DKI Jakarta gubernatorial election?

In the main spotlight, crucial issues such as transportation, sustainable urban planning, environmental preservation, and economic programs that align with the needs of Jakarta's citizens are the focus of discussion.

8. What is the impact of a two-round election on voters?

A two-round election is not just a selection event, but also an important moment that boosts campaign enthusiasm. With a second chance, voters can delve deeper into the programs offered by both candidate pairs, allowing them to make a more informed and smarter choice. This is a golden opportunity for the community to truly understand the vision and mission of their prospective leaders!

(kpl/ank)